As I said in my above post, I'm comfortable with a penalty, but don't think it's as stonewall as some believe.
The bit I hate is the bit I've put in bold. I used to hear this at training events as well, and have always hated it.
Football expected NFFC to have had at least 1 penalty last week
Football expected Luis Diaz' goal to have been awarded vs Spurs
Football expected Wolves to have had a penalty against Utd
Football expected the opposite outcome to what was reached in the above examples. But the officials clearly didn't want to do what football expects. So that to me suggests it's just a useless phrase that in thrown out when we're looking for an answer.
For clarification, the offence happens outside the penalty area so can't be a penalty. And even if it was inside, it can't be a penalty, would have to be an IDFK.