The Ref Stop

Forecast Fifties: Week 26

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Archer

Archer

🟨 C1 (BE)
WEEK 25 REVIEW
One firmly has Wizzy in his sights, and sliced twenty points from the top-two gap with his personal best week (25) including his third 15 Pointer of the campaign. One's haul came from the 1-1 draw in the Milan derby, and also a 9 from the Eredivisie gamne (2-1 to Ajax). James also scored a 9 from that match, and the other treble of the week was a 12 for the ever-upwards Exxy from whatever the San Siro is called now. Spurs failing to Do-A-Spurs™ caught a few of us out, only two people went for an Arsenal win of any kind, and the Brazilian Super Cup was just a blindfolded dart fling.

In the bonus game, just three people scored as either Frankfurt or Athletic dropped points. Exxy fared best, getting all four of his options correct for 8 points. We'll do this again later in the year with a ramping points system (X teams correct = X points per team).

LEAGUE TABLE
Screenshot 2025-02-03 at 10.48.29.png
Edit: Just noticed I hadn’t redone the position numbers in order. Order is correct.
Edit 2: Some behind-the-scenes statistics are wrong (OP amended) - will clarify in a later post.

WEEK 26 FIXTURES
• Bristol City - Swansea​
• Blackburn - Wolves​
• Cliftonville - Portadown​
• Plymouth - Liverpool​
• Aston Villa - Tottenham​
• BONUS: Minute of first goal across the six FA Women's Cup ties on Sunday. 11 pts for nearest to 1 pt furthest away.​
​
🏆 THE BALON D'OH
After three weeks of qualifying, entering our straight knockout cup competition are (in order): James 27 pts, One 24, Wizzy 24, Exxy 20, Navy 15, Gabz 5, Josh 5, and Essers 1. (I scored +3 but sitting it out). Head-to-head knockout between the pairs, taken on the match predictions only. The Rusty Shield shall be competed for by @holbeach ref and @stedaley (both -5) to be held later this season.

Quarter-Final Draw (Week 26):
• @JamesL vs @RefereeX​
• @es1 vs @Pwizardo​

You may DM your entries if you like.
 
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The Ref Stop
• Bristol City 3-1 Swansea [4]
• Blackburn 1-2 Wolves [1]
• Cliftonville 3-2 Portadown [2]
• Plymouth 0-4 Liverpool [5]
• Aston Villa 3-1 Tottenham [3]
• BONUS: 4th
 
• Bristol City 1-0 Swansea (4)
• Blackburn 1-1 Wolves (1)
• Cliftonville 1-1 Portadown (2)
• Plymouth 0-5 Liverpool (5)
• Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham (3)
Bonus: 6th
 
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• Bristol City 1-0 Swansea (2)
• Blackburn 0-3 Wolves (3)
• Cliftonville 1-1 Portadown (1)
• Plymouth 0-4 Liverpool (4)
• Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham (5)
Bonus: 4th
 
Both added, updated to Exxy's edit as well.

ETA: General rule is if I've 'liked' your post I've put it on the Spreadsheet Of Dreams™ 👍
 
RefereeX said:
I presumed that was the case, which is why I just edited rather than making a separate post to ask to change it.
Click to expand...
All good! I try have a final look just before the first game kicks off and it’s tough titties after that 😂
 
• Bristol City 2-0 Swansea [4]
• Blackburn 1-0 Wolves [3]
• Cliftonville 0-1 Portadown [2]
• Plymouth 0-4 Liverpool [5]
• Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham [1]
• BONUS: 2nd
 
Bristol City vs Swansea 2-0 w4
Blackburn vs Wolves 2-2 w1
Cliftonville vs Portadown 1-1 w3
Plymouth vs Liverpool 0-3 w5
Aston Villa vs Tottenham 2-2 w2

BONUS: 4th

On a related note, yours truly would like to claim the accolade for bragging right to most 15 pointers so far 😄. Weeks 2, 3 and 25 (cough cough)

Edit: fixed typo in G4 😁
 
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Bristol City 1-1 Swansea (3)
Blackburn 2-1 Wolves (2)
Cliftonville 1-1 Portadown (1)
Plymouth 0-5 Liverpool (5)
Aston Villa 2-2 Tottenham (4)

Bonus: 11th
 
Bristol City 2 -0 Swansea (3)
Blackburn 1-3 Wolves (4)
Cliftonville 1-2 Portadown (2)
Plymouth 0-6 Liverpool (5)
Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham (1)

Bonus: 5th
 
one said:
On a related note, yours truly would like to claim the accolade for bragging right to most 15 pointers so far 😄. Weeks 2, 3 and 25 (cough cough)
Click to expand...
Confirming this - and in double-checking, spotted some inaccuracies in the stats my end - going back through all 25 weeks now.

Total scores are correct, just not some stats (PBs, number of trebles etc)
 
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Ah I've worked out where some stats have gone wrong... Week 11 where the "Bonus" round was a pick-your-own tenth match.

I'll post some numbers and figures soon as I've done the lot. Am going through right from the start, checking everything.

SO FAR, OVERALL TOTALS ARE 100% CORRECT (it's all behind-the-scenes stat tracking - most trebles, correct results, etc)
 
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STATISTICS!

Gone through absolutely everything and double-checked. No one's overall total was different, just things I was keeping a track on to mention in the weekly reviews. The two double-weeks (11 and 19) both included 1-10 wagers so for a "Maximum" (aka a +15) I was counting +30 instead. Week 11's bonus game was a pick-your-own bonus tenth match so I included that in the predictions and gave everyone a 0 for the bonus round instead to keep it consistent across the 25 weeks.

I removed SalfordRef and Ross' records so it's a 1-11 league table since the start (es1 joined a week late). Obviously people who are on less than 135 'Played' have missed weeks. The EoW is a mean average of what position someone has finished each week in over the 25 weeks, was interesting to see whose in/out of form.

Doing-A-Spurs™ is when you get your 5-wager (or 10 in the double weeks) absolutely the wrong way round.

Things that stuck out to me:

• Only four players have finished the week top of the pile​
• League leader Wizzy leads the way for trebles, but hasn't scored a +15​
• He sits top on not just scoring the most from matches, but also losing the least​
• Gabz is equal with Wizzy on the least number of incorrect predictions​
• One has Done-A-Spurs™ as often as the bottom two, but bonuses see him challenge​
• Only been eight times when someone scored in all five matches​
• ES in Week 9's 31-points scored from the 5 matches (max 45) is the best so far​
• Gabz and Ste (Wk 4), and Josh (Wk 10) are the three times someone's gone 1-2-3-4-5​
• Biggest total weekly score is 51, Ste (Wk 16) with a frankly bonkers 43 bonus points​
• Biggest loss in one game week is also Ste -11 (+4 -15) in the bonus-stealing week​
• I've had some right old stinkers. Peaked too early (week one) :D​
• EDIT, ANOTHER STAT: We've only had one washout (Wk 9). Exxy and James put draws for the lot, all were wins, but James scored 1 bonus pt. So Exxy has the only 0-0-0-0-0-0 record for a played week so far this season.​

Feel free to ask for anything you're interested in finding out.

Screenshot 2025-02-04 at 16.11.23.png
 
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